V-Lab
Storage King Group Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026
1 Day
27.64%
1 Week
27.43%
1 Month
27.25%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 06:08 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 31, 2023 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days. The volatility power δ = 2.18 sits above 2, so large shocks influence volatility more than quadratically, dominating the response more than in standard GARCH.
APMEM Model
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| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.9799 | 1.60 |
| αARCH | 0.1920 | 3.68*** |
| βGARCH | 0.4859 | 4.61*** |
| γleverage | 0.1375 | 1.89* |
| δpower | 2.1837 | 2.31** |
0.697
Persistence2d
Half-lifeAPMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.9799 | 1.60 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1920 | 3.68*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.4859 | 4.61*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1375 | 1.89* |
δ power Transformation power | 2.1837 | 2.31** |
Persistence:
0.697
Half-life:
2 days
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