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Valora Renda Imobiliaria Fundo De Investimento Imobiliario Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026

1 Day

12.53%

decreased by 0.12%

1 Week

12.23%

decreased by 0.42%

1 Month

11.70%

decreased by 0.95%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 10:27 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/30/2024

to

09/30/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Valora Renda Imobiliaria Fundo De Investimento Imobiliario APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 18, 2024 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days. The volatility power δ = 1.24 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 5-day half-lifeδ = 1.24 · sub-quadratic power
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0919
2.93***
αARCH0.4406
4.55***
βGARCH0.4993
5.45***
γleverage0.0551
0.86
δpower1.2372
2.28**

0.860

Persistence

5d

Half-life
μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0919
2.93***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.4406
4.55***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.4993
5.45***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0551
0.86
δ

power

Transformation power

1.2372
2.28**

Persistence:

0.860

Half-life:

5 days