V-Lab
Valora Renda Imobiliaria Fundo De Investimento Imobiliario MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026
1 Day
13.11%
decreased by 0.64%
1 Week
13.85%
increased by 0.10%
1 Month
16.07%
increased by 2.32%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 10:27 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 18, 2024 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 25 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 25 days.
μ
MEM Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 25-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0592 | 1.58 |
| αARCH | 0.4814 | 3.05*** |
| βGARCH | 0.4912 | 6.04*** |
0.973
Persistence25d
Half-lifeμ
MEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0592 | 1.58 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.4814 | 3.05*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.4912 | 6.04*** |
Persistence:
0.973
Half-life:
25 days
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