V-Lab
Vivmark Residential MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, October 2nd, 2026
1 Day
19.84%
decreased by 0.55%
1 Week
20.11%
decreased by 0.28%
1 Month
21.01%
increased by 0.62%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 11:17 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 12, 1993 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 27 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 27 days.
μ
MEM Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 27-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0615 | 2.44** |
| αARCH | 0.1653 | 10.25*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8095 | 64.79*** |
0.975
Persistence27d
Half-lifeμ
MEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0615 | 2.44** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1653 | 10.25*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8095 | 64.79*** |
Persistence:
0.975
Half-life:
27 days
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