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Vivmark Residential MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 2nd, 2026

1 Day

19.84%

decreased by 0.55%

1 Week

20.11%

decreased by 0.28%

1 Month

21.01%

increased by 0.62%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 11:17 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/01/2024

to

10/01/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Vivmark Residential MEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 12, 1993 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 27 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 27 days.

μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 27-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0615
2.44**
αARCH0.1653
10.25***
βGARCH0.8095
64.79***

0.975

Persistence

27d

Half-life
μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0615
2.44**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1653
10.25***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8095
64.79***

Persistence:

0.975

Half-life:

27 days