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BTG Pactual Real Estate Hedge Fund FII - Responsabilidade Limitada MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026

1 Day

12.54%

increased by 3.69%

1 Week

12.02%

increased by 3.17%

1 Month

10.60%

increased by 1.75%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 10:33 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/30/2024

to

09/30/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of BTG Pactual Real Estate Hedge Fund FII - Responsabilidade Limitada MEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 17, 2024 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 9 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 9 days.

μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 9-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0175
0.86
αARCH0.2722
2.28**
βGARCH0.6568
10.61***

0.929

Persistence

9d

Half-life
μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0175
0.86
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2722
2.28**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6568
10.61***

Persistence:

0.929

Half-life:

9 days