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V-Lab

Cyrela Credito FII MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026

1 Day

13.14%

decreased by 0.34%

1 Week

13.38%

decreased by 0.10%

1 Month

14.23%

increased by 0.75%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 10:23 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/30/2024

to

09/30/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Cyrela Credito FII MEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 23, 2021 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 63 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 63 days.

μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 63-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0203
0.96
αARCH0.1916
4.47***
βGARCH0.7974
31.10***

0.989

Persistence

63d

Half-life
μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0203
0.96
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1916
4.47***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7974
31.10***

Persistence:

0.989

Half-life:

63 days