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V-Lab

Cyrela Credito FII AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026

1 Day

16.00%

decreased by 0.44%

1 Week

16.23%

decreased by 0.21%

1 Month

16.98%

increased by 0.54%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 10:23 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/30/2024

to

09/30/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Cyrela Credito FII AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 23, 2021 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 25 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 25 days.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 25-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0303
1.74*
αARCH0.1644
6.36***
βGARCH0.8083
36.01***
γleverage-0.2775
-1.46

0.973

Persistence

25d

Half-life
σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0303
1.74*
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1644
6.36***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8083
36.01***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.2775
-1.46

Persistence:

0.973

Half-life:

25 days