V-Lab
Cyrela Credito FII AGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026
1 Day
16.00%
decreased by 0.44%
1 Week
16.23%
decreased by 0.21%
1 Month
16.98%
increased by 0.54%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 10:23 PM UTC
Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 23, 2021 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 25 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 25 days.
σ
AGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 25-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0303 | 1.74* |
| αARCH | 0.1644 | 6.36*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8083 | 36.01*** |
| γleverage | -0.2775 | -1.46 |
0.973
Persistence25d
Half-lifeσ
AGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0303 | 1.74* |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1644 | 6.36*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8083 | 36.01*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.2775 | -1.46 |
Persistence:
0.973
Half-life:
25 days
Other Cyrela Credito FII Analyses
Other AGARCH Analyses on Real Estate