V-Lab
Cyrela Credito FII Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026
1 Day
13.08%
decreased by 0.46%
1 Week
13.30%
decreased by 0.24%
1 Month
14.09%
increased by 0.55%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 10:23 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 23, 2021 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 61 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 61 days.
μ
AMEM Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 61-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0194 | 2.78*** |
| αARCH | 0.1620 | 3.19*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8034 | 33.46*** |
| γleverage | 0.0466 | 0.50 |
0.989
Persistence61d
Half-lifeμ
AMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0194 | 2.78*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1620 | 3.19*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8034 | 33.46*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0466 | 0.50 |
Persistence:
0.989
Half-life:
61 days
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