V-Lab
Signature Residency REIT Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026
1 Day
21.16%
decreased by 0.96%
1 Week
20.42%
decreased by 1.70%
1 Month
18.06%
decreased by 4.06%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 09:55 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 29, 2026 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 14 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 14 days.
μ
AMEM Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 14-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0224 | 0.31 |
| αARCH | 0.0939 | 0.78 |
| βGARCH | 0.9041 | 5.09*** |
| γleverage | -0.0939 | -0.51 |
0.951
Persistence14d
Half-lifeμ
AMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0224 | 0.31 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0939 | 0.78 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9041 | 5.09*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0939 | -0.51 |
Persistence:
0.951
Half-life:
14 days
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