V-Lab
Signature Residency REIT AGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026
1 Day
12.79%
decreased by 1.99%
1 Week
12.94%
decreased by 1.84%
1 Month
12.99%
decreased by 1.79%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 09:55 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 29, 2026 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day.
σ
AGARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 1-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.4444 | 3.74*** |
| αARCH | 0.1588 | 1.86* |
| βGARCH | 0.1747 | 1.18 |
| γleverage | 0.1419 | 0.45 |
0.334
Persistence1d
Half-lifeσ
AGARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.4444 | 3.74*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1588 | 1.86* |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.1747 | 1.18 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1419 | 0.45 |
Persistence:
0.334
Half-life:
1 days
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