V-Lab
Signature Residency REIT Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026
1 Day
12.23%
decreased by 2.20%
1 Week
11.90%
decreased by 2.53%
1 Month
11.68%
decreased by 2.75%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 09:55 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 29, 2026 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.2225 | 3.64*** |
| αARCH | 0.1806 | 2.06** |
| βGARCH | 0.4312 | 1.42 |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 1.4557 | 0.96 |
0.612
Persistence1d
Half-lifeτ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.2225 | 3.64*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1806 | 2.06** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.4312 | 1.42 |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 1.4557 | 0.96 |
Persistence:
0.612
Half-life:
1 days
Other Signature Residency REIT Analyses
Other Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Analyses on Real Estate