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Sunlight Real Estate Investment Trust Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 2nd, 2026

1 Day

17.93%

decreased by 0.48%

1 Week

18.94%

increased by 0.53%

1 Month

21.44%

increased by 3.03%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 08:08 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/30/2024

to

09/30/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Sunlight Real Estate Investment Trust S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 21, 2006 to Sep 30, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 11 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.6754
3.49***
αARCH0.1125
6.06***
βGARCH0.8242
32.65***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=6
γ1-0.2553
-2.28**
γ20.3679
2.27**
γ3-0.1467
-1.63
γ40.0969
1.43
γ5-0.1303
-2.21**
γ60.0834
1.84*

0.937

Persistence

11d

Half-life
τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.6754
3.49***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1125
6.06***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8242
32.65***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=6
γ1-0.2553
-2.28**
γ20.3679
2.27**
γ3-0.1467
-1.63
γ40.0969
1.43
γ5-0.1303
-2.21**
γ60.0834
1.84*

Persistence:

0.937

Half-life:

11 days