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Sunlight Real Estate Investment Trust MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 2nd, 2026

1 Day

16.74%

decreased by 0.63%

1 Week

17.62%

increased by 0.25%

1 Month

19.44%

increased by 2.07%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 08:09 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/30/2024

to

09/30/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Sunlight Real Estate Investment Trust MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 21, 2006 to Sep 30, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 78% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 78% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow21
αARCH0.0914
3.93***
βGARCH0.7745
22.64***
γleverage0.0714
2.23**
λ₁tau intercept0.0035
1.06
λ₂forecast adj.0.0109
1.98**
λ₃tau persistence0.9874
158.31***

0.902

Persistence

7d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0914
3.93***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7745
22.64***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0714
2.23**
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0035
1.06
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0109
1.98**
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9874
158.31***

Persistence:

0.902

Half-life:

7 days