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Fundo De Investimento Imobiliario Caixa Agencias MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 30th, 2026

1 Day

14.95%

decreased by 1.77%

1 Week

14.86%

decreased by 1.86%

1 Month

15.30%

decreased by 1.42%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 10:32 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/29/2024

to

09/29/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Fundo De Investimento Imobiliario Caixa Agencias MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 7, 2022 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Inverse leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow56
αARCH0.2604
5.57***
βGARCH0.7043
10.80***
γleverage-0.2163
-3.34***
λ₁tau intercept0.3097
0.54
λ₂forecast adj.0.3218
0.63
λ₃tau persistence0.2987
0.25

0.857

Persistence

4d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

56
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2604
5.57***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7043
10.80***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.2163
-3.34***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.3097
0.54
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.3218
0.63
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.2987
0.25

Persistence:

0.857

Half-life:

4 days