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Plural Logistica Fii Classe Un MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

17.65%

decreased by 0.60%

1 Week

17.65%

decreased by 0.60%

1 Month

18.58%

increased by 0.33%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 2, 2026 at 07:01 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

07/24/2024

to

07/24/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Plural Logistica Fii Classe Un MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 17, 2021 to Jul 24, 2026
Stationarity Enforced

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Inverse leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow31
αARCH0.0960
3.05***
βGARCH0.8697
13.66***
γleverage-0.0960
-2.83***
λ₁tau intercept0.8526
1.22
λ₂forecast adj.0.5210
1.67*
λ₃tau persistence0.0000
0.00

0.918

Persistence

8d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

31
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0960
3.05***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8697
13.66***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0960
-2.83***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.8526
1.22
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.5210
1.67*
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.918

Half-life:

8 days