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FII Vida Nova MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026

1 Day

64.33%

increased by 3.45%

1 Week

72.92%

increased by 12.04%

1 Month

79.96%

increased by 19.08%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 10:35 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/30/2024

to

09/30/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of FII Vida Nova MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 4, 2015 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 2-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow96
αARCH0.3285
4.10***
βGARCH0.4065
5.57***
γleverage-0.0557
-0.51
λ₁tau intercept10.0000
0.26
λ₂forecast adj.0.0000
0.00
λ₃tau persistence0.6311
0.49

0.707

Persistence

2d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

96
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3285
4.10***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.4065
5.57***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0557
-0.51
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
0.26
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.6311
0.49

Persistence:

0.707

Half-life:

2 days