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SJ Au Logistica FII MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026

1 Day

154.12%

increased by 3.46%

1 Week

183.44%

increased by 32.78%

1 Month

248.47%

increased by 97.81%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 10:30 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/30/2024

to

09/30/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of SJ Au Logistica FII MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 11, 2021 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Inverse leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow21
αARCH0.5102
4.46***
βGARCH0.6561
3.97***
γleverage-0.4412
-6.12***
λ₁tau intercept10.0000
0.89
λ₂forecast adj.0.0000
0.00
λ₃tau persistence0.9790
37.62***

0.946

Persistence

12d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.5102
4.46***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6561
3.97***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.4412
-6.12***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
0.89
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9790
37.62***

Persistence:

0.946

Half-life:

12 days