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V-Lab

SJ Au Logistica FII Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026

1 Day

112.96%

increased by 4.52%

1 Week

118.83%

increased by 10.39%

1 Month

135.10%

increased by 26.66%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 10:29 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/30/2024

to

09/30/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of SJ Au Logistica FII AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 25, 2021 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 16 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 16 days.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 16-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst5.0000
1.67*
αARCH0.1299
0.94
βGARCH0.7790
13.83***
γleverage0.0962
0.40

0.957

Persistence

16d

Half-life
μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
1.67*
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1299
0.94
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7790
13.83***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0962
0.40

Persistence:

0.957

Half-life:

16 days