V-Lab
SJ Au Logistica FII Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026
1 Day
112.96%
increased by 4.52%
1 Week
118.83%
increased by 10.39%
1 Month
135.10%
increased by 26.66%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 10:29 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 25, 2021 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 16 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 16 days.
μ
AMEM Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 16-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 5.0000 | 1.67* |
| αARCH | 0.1299 | 0.94 |
| βGARCH | 0.7790 | 13.83*** |
| γleverage | 0.0962 | 0.40 |
0.957
Persistence16d
Half-lifeμ
AMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 1.67* |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1299 | 0.94 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7790 | 13.83*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0962 | 0.40 |
Persistence:
0.957
Half-life:
16 days
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