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Plural Logistica Fii Classe Un Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, June 16th, 2026

1 Day

15.17%

decreased by 0.71%

1 Week

15.99%

increased by 0.11%

1 Month

18.36%

increased by 2.48%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, June 16, 2026 at 09:39 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

06/15/2024

to

06/15/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Plural Logistica Fii Classe Un AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 17, 2021 to Jun 12, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 37% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Inverse leverage: Positive returns increase volatility 37% more than negative returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0860
10.03***
αARCH0.1585
13.13***
βGARCH0.8265
95.88***
γleverage-0.0428
-2.42**

0.964

Persistence

19d

Half-life
μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0860
10.03***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1585
13.13***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8265
95.88***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0428
-2.42**

Persistence:

0.964

Half-life:

19 days