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Plural Logistica Fii Classe Un Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

13.64%

decreased by 0.59%

1 Week

13.53%

decreased by 0.70%

1 Month

13.35%

decreased by 0.88%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 07:13 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

07/24/2024

to

07/24/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Plural Logistica Fii Classe Un SGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 17, 2021 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 4 trading days.

τ

Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.9491
6.81***
αARCH0.0606
2.35**
βGARCH0.7935
7.90***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=3
γ1-0.4668
-1.82*
γ21.1642
2.69***
γ3-1.9684
-4.15***

0.854

Persistence

4d

Half-life
τ

Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9491
6.81***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0606
2.35**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7935
7.90***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=3
γ1-0.4668
-1.82*
γ21.1642
2.69***
γ3-1.9684
-4.15***

Persistence:

0.854

Half-life:

4 days