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V-Lab

Living REIT PLC Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026

1 Day

19.91%

decreased by 1.18%

1 Week

20.22%

decreased by 0.87%

1 Month

20.85%

decreased by 0.24%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 10:14 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/30/2024

to

09/30/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Living REIT PLC SGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 8, 2017 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 6 trading days.

τ

Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.1762
3.57***
αARCH0.1351
4.84***
βGARCH0.7510
15.23***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=6
γ1-0.0020
0.00
γ2-0.9322
-1.56
γ31.8828
5.27***
γ4-1.7603
-5.25***
γ51.1232
3.47***
γ6-0.3816
-0.89

0.886

Persistence

6d

Half-life
τ

Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1762
3.57***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1351
4.84***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7510
15.23***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=6
γ1-0.0020
0.00
γ2-0.9322
-1.56
γ31.8828
5.27***
γ4-1.7603
-5.25***
γ51.1232
3.47***
γ6-0.3816
-0.89

Persistence:

0.886

Half-life:

6 days