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V-Lab
V-Lab

Caixa Rio Bravo Fundo de Fundos de Investimento Imobiliario Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026

1 Day

35.45%

decreased by 4.13%

1 Week

35.45%

decreased by 4.13%

1 Month

35.46%

decreased by 4.12%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 10:27 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/30/2024

to

09/30/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Caixa Rio Bravo Fundo de Fundos de Investimento Imobiliario SGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 8, 2014 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 5 trading days.

τ

Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst4.0350
2.23**
αARCH0.1824
4.47***
βGARCH0.6871
11.52***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=8
γ12.7209
3.32***
γ2-3.8715
-3.77***
γ32.8164
6.57***
γ4-3.5553
-5.76***
γ52.9015
3.55***
γ6-0.4049
-0.55
γ7-2.2424
-3.18***
γ83.3933
1.97**

0.869

Persistence

5d

Half-life
τ

Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

4.0350
2.23**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1824
4.47***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6871
11.52***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=8
γ12.7209
3.32***
γ2-3.8715
-3.77***
γ32.8164
6.57***
γ4-3.5553
-5.76***
γ52.9015
3.55***
γ6-0.4049
-0.55
γ7-2.2424
-3.18***
γ83.3933
1.97**

Persistence:

0.869

Half-life:

5 days