V-Lab
Caixa Rio Bravo Fundo de Fundos de Investimento Imobiliario GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026
1 Day
37.73%
decreased by 2.09%
1 Week
37.34%
decreased by 2.48%
1 Month
36.12%
decreased by 3.70%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 10:27 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 8, 2014 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 16 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 16 days.
σ
GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 16-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.1750 | 1.34 |
| αARCH | 0.0935 | 2.30** |
| βGARCH | 0.8648 | 19.58*** |
0.958
Persistence16d
Half-lifeσ
GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1750 | 1.34 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0935 | 2.30** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8648 | 19.58*** |
Persistence:
0.958
Half-life:
16 days
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