V-Lab
Caixa Rio Bravo Fundo de Fundos de Investimento Imobiliario Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026
1 Day
45.01%
decreased by 4.85%
1 Week
45.25%
decreased by 4.61%
1 Month
46.11%
decreased by 3.75%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 10:27 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 9, 2014 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 57 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 57 days.
μ
APMEM Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 57-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.1385 | 2.11** |
| αARCH | 0.1899 | 7.87*** |
| βGARCH | 0.7984 | 28.85*** |
| γleverage | -0.0519 | -0.70 |
| δpower | 1.9867 | 5.39*** |
0.988
Persistence57d
Half-lifeμ
APMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1385 | 2.11** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1899 | 7.87*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7984 | 28.85*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0519 | -0.70 |
δ power Transformation power | 1.9867 | 5.39*** |
Persistence:
0.988
Half-life:
57 days
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