V-Lab
Caixa Rio Bravo Fundo de Fundos de Investimento Imobiliario EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026
1 Day
34.37%
decreased by 0.88%
1 Week
34.60%
decreased by 0.65%
1 Month
35.47%
increased by 0.22%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 10:27 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 8, 2014 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 53 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 53 days.
σ
EGARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 53-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0268 | 0.57 |
| αARCH | 0.0812 | 1.36 |
| βGARCH | 0.9870 | 60.10*** |
| γleverage | 0.0516 | 0.98 |
0.987
Persistence53d
Half-lifeσ
EGARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0268 | 0.57 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0812 | 1.36 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9870 | 60.10*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0516 | 0.98 |
Persistence:
0.987
Half-life:
53 days
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