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Town Centre Securities PLC EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026

1 Day

28.35%

decreased by 0.23%

1 Week

29.29%

increased by 0.71%

1 Month

32.26%

increased by 3.68%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 10:20 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/30/2024

to

09/30/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Town Centre Securities PLC EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 8, 1990 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 13 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 13 days.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 13-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0928
5.75***
αARCH0.1796
7.78***
βGARCH0.9491
98.66***
γleverage-0.0270
-1.03

0.949

Persistence

13d

Half-life
σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0928
5.75***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1796
7.78***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9491
98.66***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0270
-1.03

Persistence:

0.949

Half-life:

13 days