V-Lab
Plural Logistica Fii Classe Un EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
17.70%
decreased by 0.74%
1 Week
18.21%
decreased by 0.23%
1 Month
19.89%
increased by 1.45%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 07:13 AM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 17, 2021 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 165% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
σ
EGARCH Model
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Inverse leverage: Positive returns increase volatility 165% more than negative returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0389 | 6.74*** |
| αARCH | 0.1353 | 15.89*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9562 | 173.96*** |
| γleverage | 0.0612 | 6.94*** |
0.956
Persistence15d
Half-lifeσ
EGARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0389 | 6.74*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1353 | 15.89*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9562 | 173.96*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0612 | 6.94*** |
Persistence:
0.956
Half-life:
15 days
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