V-Lab
Plural Logistica Fii Classe Un MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, June 16th, 2026
1 Day
15.11%
decreased by 0.67%
1 Week
15.81%
increased by 0.03%
1 Month
17.92%
increased by 2.14%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, June 16, 2026 at 09:38 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 17, 2021 to Jun 12, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 21 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 21 days.
μ
MEM Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 21-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0737 | 4.25*** |
| αARCH | 0.1264 | 10.97*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8416 | 103.34*** |
0.968
Persistence21d
Half-lifeμ
MEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0737 | 4.25*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1264 | 10.97*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8416 | 103.34*** |
Persistence:
0.968
Half-life:
21 days
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