V-Lab
Plural Logistica Fii Classe Un GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
17.56%
decreased by 0.34%
1 Week
17.91%
increased by 0.01%
1 Month
18.99%
increased by 1.09%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 07:13 AM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 17, 2021 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 21 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 21 days.
σ
GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 21-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0660 | 6.76*** |
| αARCH | 0.0567 | 14.14*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9101 | 115.67*** |
0.967
Persistence21d
Half-lifeσ
GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0660 | 6.76*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0567 | 14.14*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9101 | 115.67*** |
Persistence:
0.967
Half-life:
21 days
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