V-Lab
Patria Top Offices Fundo de Investimento Imobiliario - Responsabilidade Limitada GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026
1 Day
18.43%
increased by 0.06%
1 Week
18.49%
increased by 0.12%
1 Month
18.68%
increased by 0.31%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 10:34 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 7, 2024 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 25 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 25 days.
σ
GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 25-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0417 | 1.26 |
| αARCH | 0.0830 | 1.86* |
| βGARCH | 0.8892 | 16.48*** |
0.972
Persistence25d
Half-lifeσ
GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0417 | 1.26 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0830 | 1.86* |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8892 | 16.48*** |
Persistence:
0.972
Half-life:
25 days
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