V-Lab
Patria Top Offices Fundo de Investimento Imobiliario - Responsabilidade Limitada Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026
1 Day
13.28%
decreased by 2.02%
1 Week
14.47%
decreased by 0.83%
1 Month
17.87%
increased by 2.57%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 10:34 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 7, 2024 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 23 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 23 days.
μ
AMEM Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 23-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0881 | 2.55** |
| αARCH | 0.3982 | 2.38** |
| βGARCH | 0.6203 | 8.50*** |
| γleverage | -0.0952 | -0.50 |
0.971
Persistence23d
Half-lifeμ
AMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0881 | 2.55** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3982 | 2.38** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6203 | 8.50*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0952 | -0.50 |
Persistence:
0.971
Half-life:
23 days
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