V-Lab
Patria Top Offices Fundo de Investimento Imobiliario - Responsabilidade Limitada AGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026
1 Day
18.05%
increased by 0.64%
1 Week
18.10%
increased by 0.69%
1 Month
18.24%
increased by 0.83%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 10:34 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 7, 2024 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 14 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 14 days.
σ
AGARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 14-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0488 | 0.79 |
| αARCH | 0.0844 | 2.36** |
| βGARCH | 0.8660 | 24.94*** |
| γleverage | -0.4759 | -1.01 |
0.950
Persistence14d
Half-lifeσ
AGARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0488 | 0.79 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0844 | 2.36** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8660 | 24.94*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.4759 | -1.01 |
Persistence:
0.950
Half-life:
14 days
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