V-Lab
Rio Bravo Multiestrategia Fundo de Investimento Imobiliario de Responsabilidade AGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026
1 Day
18.18%
decreased by 0.96%
1 Week
18.93%
decreased by 0.21%
1 Month
21.47%
increased by 2.33%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 10:30 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 3, 2013 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 62 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 62 days.
σ
AGARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 62-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0700 | 3.41*** |
| αARCH | 0.1344 | 4.42*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8544 | 33.37*** |
| γleverage | -0.0138 | -0.05 |
0.989
Persistence62d
Half-lifeσ
AGARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0700 | 3.41*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1344 | 4.42*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8544 | 33.37*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0138 | -0.05 |
Persistence:
0.989
Half-life:
62 days
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