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Rio Bravo Multiestrategia Fundo de Investimento Imobiliario de Responsabilidade Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026

1 Day

16.12%

decreased by 1.02%

1 Week

16.88%

decreased by 0.26%

1 Month

18.85%

increased by 1.71%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 10:30 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/30/2024

to

09/30/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Rio Bravo Multiestrategia Fundo de Investimento Imobiliario de Responsabilidade SGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 3, 2013 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 12 trading days.

τ

Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.8332
5.34***
αARCH0.1557
4.66***
βGARCH0.7872
25.99***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0123
1.46

0.943

Persistence

12d

Half-life
τ

Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.8332
5.34***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1557
4.66***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7872
25.99***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0123
1.46

Persistence:

0.943

Half-life:

12 days