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V-Lab

Valora Renda Imobiliaria Fundo De Investimento Imobiliario Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026

1 Day

24.82%

decreased by 0.06%

1 Week

28.30%

increased by 3.42%

1 Month

29.51%

increased by 4.63%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 10:27 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/30/2024

to

09/30/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Valora Renda Imobiliaria Fundo De Investimento Imobiliario SGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 18, 2024 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.

τ

Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.4001
5.76***
αARCH0.2674
3.28***
βGARCH0.1389
0.82
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.5119
2.44**

0.406

Persistence

1d

Half-life
τ

Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.4001
5.76***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2674
3.28***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.1389
0.82
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.5119
2.44**

Persistence:

0.406

Half-life:

1 days