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V-Lab

Valora Renda Imobiliaria Fundo De Investimento Imobiliario MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026

1 Day

18.93%

decreased by 1.39%

1 Week

20.69%

increased by 0.37%

1 Month

21.53%

increased by 1.21%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 10:27 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/30/2024

to

09/30/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Valora Renda Imobiliaria Fundo De Investimento Imobiliario MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 18, 2024 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 230% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 230% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow41
αARCH0.0957
2.02**
βGARCH0.0926
1.20
γleverage0.2202
2.52**
λ₁tau intercept0.8468
0.78
λ₂forecast adj.0.3567
1.81*
λ₃tau persistence0.2100
0.31

0.298

Persistence

1d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

41
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0957
2.02**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0926
1.20
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2202
2.52**
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.8468
0.78
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.3567
1.81*
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.2100
0.31

Persistence:

0.298

Half-life:

1 days