V-Lab
Valora Renda Imobiliaria Fundo De Investimento Imobiliario MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026
1 Day
18.93%
decreased by 1.39%
1 Week
20.69%
increased by 0.37%
1 Month
21.53%
increased by 1.21%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 10:27 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 18, 2024 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 230% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
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Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 230% more than positive returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 41 | |
| αARCH | 0.0957 | 2.02** |
| βGARCH | 0.0926 | 1.20 |
| γleverage | 0.2202 | 2.52** |
| λ₁tau intercept | 0.8468 | 0.78 |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.3567 | 1.81* |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.2100 | 0.31 |
0.298
Persistence1d
Half-lifeσ
MF2-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 41 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0957 | 2.02** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0926 | 1.20 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.2202 | 2.52** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.8468 | 0.78 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.3567 | 1.81* |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.2100 | 0.31 |
Persistence:
0.298
Half-life:
1 days
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