V-Lab
Living REIT PLC MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026
1 Day
21.26%
decreased by 1.14%
1 Week
21.52%
decreased by 0.88%
1 Month
22.38%
decreased by 0.02%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 10:15 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 8, 2017 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 6-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 21 | |
| αARCH | 0.0742 | 3.06*** |
| βGARCH | 0.7902 | 15.61*** |
| γleverage | 0.0683 | 1.79* |
| λ₁tau intercept | 0.0210 | 2.15** |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.0325 | 2.14** |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.9595 | 51.87*** |
0.899
Persistence6d
Half-lifeσ
MF2-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0742 | 3.06*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7902 | 15.61*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0683 | 1.79* |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0210 | 2.15** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0325 | 2.14** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9595 | 51.87*** |
Persistence:
0.899
Half-life:
6 days
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