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Living REIT PLC GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026

1 Day

20.04%

decreased by 0.77%

1 Week

20.02%

decreased by 0.79%

1 Month

19.95%

decreased by 0.86%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 10:14 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/30/2024

to

09/30/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Living REIT PLC GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 8, 2017 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, volatility shocks have a half-life of 693 trading days (~2.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.24 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.999, shock half-life ~693 daysv = 4.24 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.1052
2.57**
αARCH0.0664
14.33***
βGARCH0.9990
440.28***
νDF4.2437
10.70***

0.999

Persistence

693d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1052
2.57**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0664
14.33***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9990
440.28***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

4.2437
10.70***

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

693 days