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Sunstone Hotel Investors Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 2nd, 2026

1 Day

15.38%

increased by 0.45%

1 Week

15.97%

increased by 1.04%

1 Month

17.99%

increased by 3.06%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 11:16 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/01/2024

to

10/01/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Sunstone Hotel Investors Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 21, 2004 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 62 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 62 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 7.61 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 62-day half-lifev = 7.61 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst4.2490
1.71*
αARCH0.0755
7.52***
βGARCH0.9888
145.46***
νDF7.6079
1.35

0.989

Persistence

62d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

4.2490
1.71*
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0755
7.52***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9888
145.46***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

7.6079
1.35

Persistence:

0.989

Half-life:

62 days