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Sunstone Hotel Investors Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 2nd, 2026

1 Day

17.15%

decreased by 0.16%

1 Week

17.52%

increased by 0.21%

1 Month

18.85%

increased by 1.54%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 11:15 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/01/2024

to

10/01/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Sunstone Hotel Investors Inc GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 21, 2004 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.992, volatility shocks have a half-life of 89 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 314% more than positive returns

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.992, shock half-life ~89 daysLeverage: Negative returns increase volatility 314% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0347
2.72***
αARCH0.0212
2.95***
βGARCH0.9376
127.62***
γleverage0.0667
3.68***

0.992

Persistence

89d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0347
2.72***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0212
2.95***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9376
127.62***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0667
3.68***

Persistence:

0.992

Half-life:

89 days