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Vivmark Residential GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 2nd, 2026

1 Day

23.57%

decreased by 0.42%

1 Week

23.61%

decreased by 0.38%

1 Month

23.77%

decreased by 0.22%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 11:17 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/01/2024

to

10/01/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Vivmark Residential GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 12, 1993 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 123% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 123% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0431
5.57***
αARCH0.0525
4.64***
βGARCH0.8975
88.73***
γleverage0.0646
2.51**

0.982

Persistence

39d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0431
5.57***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0525
4.64***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8975
88.73***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0646
2.51**

Persistence:

0.982

Half-life:

39 days