V-Lab
Vivmark Residential GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, October 2nd, 2026
1 Day
21.48%
decreased by 0.44%
1 Week
21.58%
decreased by 0.34%
1 Month
21.93%
increased by 0.01%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 11:17 PM UTC
Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 12, 1993 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 38 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 38 days.
σ
GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 38-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0417 | 5.46*** |
| αARCH | 0.0871 | 9.24*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8949 | 85.91*** |
0.982
Persistence38d
Half-lifeσ
GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0417 | 5.46*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0871 | 9.24*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8949 | 85.91*** |
Persistence:
0.982
Half-life:
38 days
Other Vivmark Residential Analyses
Other GARCH Analyses on Real Estate