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V-Lab

Cyrela Credito FII GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026

1 Day

14.66%

decreased by 0.41%

1 Week

14.75%

decreased by 0.32%

1 Month

15.09%

increased by 0.02%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 10:23 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/30/2024

to

09/30/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Cyrela Credito FII GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 23, 2021 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 34 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 34 days.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 34-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0229
2.14**
αARCH0.0972
3.96***
βGARCH0.8827
30.96***

0.980

Persistence

34d

Half-life
σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0229
2.14**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0972
3.96***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8827
30.96***

Persistence:

0.980

Half-life:

34 days