V-Lab
Signature Residency REIT GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026
1 Day
13.05%
decreased by 2.19%
1 Week
13.05%
decreased by 2.19%
1 Month
13.05%
decreased by 2.19%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 09:55 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 29, 2026 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day.
σ
GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 1-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.3330 | 1.81* |
| αARCH | 0.1650 | 1.81* |
| βGARCH | 0.3421 | 1.05 |
0.507
Persistence1d
Half-lifeσ
GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.3330 | 1.81* |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1650 | 1.81* |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.3421 | 1.05 |
Persistence:
0.507
Half-life:
1 days
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