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V-Lab

Signature Residency REIT EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026

1 Day

14.33%

increased by 0.05%

1 Week

14.20%

decreased by 0.08%

1 Month

13.73%

decreased by 0.55%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 09:55 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/30/2024

to

09/30/2026

6M ·

All

graph of Signature Residency REIT EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 29, 2026 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, volatility shocks have a half-life of 419 trading days (~1.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.998, shock half-life ~419 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst-0.0090
-0.01
αARCH-0.1975
-0.34
βGARCH0.9983
9.05***
γleverage0.1181
0.10

0.998

Persistence

419d

Half-life
σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

-0.0090
-0.01
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

-0.1975
-0.34
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9983
9.05***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1181
0.10

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

419 days