V-Lab
Signature Residency REIT EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026
1 Day
14.33%
increased by 0.05%
1 Week
14.20%
decreased by 0.08%
1 Month
13.73%
decreased by 0.55%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 09:55 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 29, 2026 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.998, volatility shocks have a half-life of 419 trading days (~1.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
σ
EGARCH Model
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High persistence: persistence 0.998, shock half-life ~419 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | -0.0090 | -0.01 |
| αARCH | -0.1975 | -0.34 |
| βGARCH | 0.9983 | 9.05*** |
| γleverage | 0.1181 | 0.10 |
0.998
Persistence419d
Half-lifeσ
EGARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | -0.0090 | -0.01 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | -0.1975 | -0.34 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9983 | 9.05*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1181 | 0.10 |
Persistence:
0.998
Half-life:
419 days
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