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Signature Residency REIT Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026

1 Day

12.53%

increased by 0.43%

1 Week

12.43%

increased by 0.33%

1 Month

12.41%

increased by 0.31%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 09:55 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/30/2024

to

09/30/2026

6M ·

All

graph of Signature Residency REIT APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 29, 2026 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day. The volatility power δ = 3.00 sits above 2, so large shocks influence volatility more than quadratically, dominating the response more than in standard GARCH.

μ

APMEM Model

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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 1-day half-lifeδ = 3.00 · super-quadratic power
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.3548
1.20
αARCH0.0994
0.50
βGARCH0.0708
0.41
γleverage0.2332
1.15
δpower3.0000
0.78

0.255

Persistence

1d

Half-life
μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.3548
1.20
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0994
0.50
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0708
0.41
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2332
1.15
δ

power

Transformation power

3.0000
0.78

Persistence:

0.255

Half-life:

1 days