Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

FII Vida Nova Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026

1 Day

103.25%

increased by 27.23%

1 Week

106.50%

increased by 30.48%

1 Month

113.26%

increased by 37.24%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 10:34 PM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

09/30/2024

to

09/30/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of FII Vida Nova APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 12, 2016 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days. The volatility power δ = 1.10 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 6-day half-lifeδ = 1.10 · sub-quadratic power
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.0000
1.05
αARCH0.3662
6.17***
βGARCH0.5974
9.48***
γleverage-0.0031
-0.03
δpower1.1011
3.11***

0.892

Persistence

6d

Half-life
μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0000
1.05
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3662
6.17***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5974
9.48***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0031
-0.03
δ

power

Transformation power

1.1011
3.11***

Persistence:

0.892

Half-life:

6 days