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FII Vida Nova Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026

1 Day

103.87%

increased by 27.13%

1 Week

113.07%

increased by 36.33%

1 Month

140.35%

increased by 63.61%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 10:34 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/30/2024

to

09/30/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of FII Vida Nova AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 12, 2016 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 31 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 31 days.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 31-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst5.0000
2.36**
αARCH0.4186
3.13***
βGARCH0.5392
10.05***
γleverage0.0401
0.15

0.978

Persistence

31d

Half-life
μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
2.36**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.4186
3.13***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5392
10.05***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0401
0.15

Persistence:

0.978

Half-life:

31 days