V-Lab
Vivmark Residential Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, October 2nd, 2026
1 Day
20.69%
decreased by 0.47%
1 Week
20.91%
decreased by 0.25%
1 Month
21.62%
increased by 0.46%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 11:17 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 12, 1993 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 29 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 29 days.
μ
AMEM Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 29-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0583 | 7.10*** |
| αARCH | 0.1274 | 7.57*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8200 | 66.97*** |
| γleverage | 0.0577 | 1.94* |
0.976
Persistence29d
Half-lifeμ
AMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0583 | 7.10*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1274 | 7.57*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8200 | 66.97*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0577 | 1.94* |
Persistence:
0.976
Half-life:
29 days
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