Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

Vivmark Residential Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 2nd, 2026

1 Day

21.57%

decreased by 0.37%

1 Week

21.04%

decreased by 0.90%

1 Month

19.45%

decreased by 2.49%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 11:18 PM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

10/01/2024

to

10/01/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Vivmark Residential APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 12, 1993 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 28% more than equivalent positive returns. The volatility power δ = 1.10 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 28% more than positive returnsδ = 1.10 · sub-quadratic power
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0430
7.03***
αARCH0.1637
13.82***
βGARCH0.8233
67.46***
γleverage0.1104
3.65***
δpower1.1040
8.21***

0.955

Persistence

15d

Half-life
μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0430
7.03***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1637
13.82***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8233
67.46***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1104
3.65***
δ

power

Transformation power

1.1040
8.21***

Persistence:

0.955

Half-life:

15 days